Research

Working Papers

Strategic Land Supply and Booming Urban Greens in China (New Draft Coming Soon)

Independent Research

What changes will occur in the land transfer behavior of local officials when the cost of directly manipulating data increases?

Abstract
This paper examines shifting China's air-quality monitoring stations to independent private operators prompted municipal officials to strategically develop green spaces around monitoring stations. A simple model demonstrates that higher data manipulation costs caused by the reform generate substitution effects (expanded real green space) and signal-strength effects (increased reliance on credible data). Analysis of over one million land-transfer records with difference-in-differences design reveals park and green-space transfers nearly doubled within 5 km of monitoring stations post-reform, with effects diminishing by distance. These findings underscore the necessity of comprehensive, multi-metric evaluation systems to prevent unintended spatial resource allocation distortions.